DDM Analysis: VTY.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.15 - $9.21	$7.60
Multi-Stage	$7.46 - $8.18	$7.81
Blended Fair Value	$7.71
Current Price	$6.38
Upside	20.82%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.32	0.41	0.26	0.00	0.23	0.38	0.18	0.16	0.14
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-20.52%	56.58%	0.00%	-100.00%	-39.35%	114.57%	9.06%	12.53%	71.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	3.52%	6.50%	2.19%	0.00%	1.76%	4.71%	1.60%	2.11%	1.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	245.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	245.95

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	49.20	30.75	18.45
Cash Retained (M)	245.95	245.95	245.95
(-) Cash Required (M)	-49.20	-30.75	-18.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	196.75	215.20	227.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	341.61	341.61	341.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.58	0.63	0.67
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.58	0.63	0.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.58	0.63	0.67
WACC / Discount Rate	10.25%	10.25%	10.25%
Growth Rate	0.82%	1.82%	2.82%
Fair Value	$6.15	$7.60	$9.21
Upside / Downside	-3.53%	19.19%	44.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	245.98	250.45	255.00	259.63	264.35	269.16	277.23
Payout Ratio	0.01%	18.01%	36.01%	54.00%	72.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.03	45.10	91.82	140.21	190.34	242.24	256.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.25%	10.25%	10.25%
Growth Rate	0.82%	1.82%	2.82%
Year 1 PV (M)	40.51	40.91	41.31
Year 2 PV (M)	74.06	75.53	77.03
Year 3 PV (M)	101.57	104.62	107.73
Year 4 PV (M)	123.83	128.82	133.95
Year 5 PV (M)	141.53	148.69	156.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,065.74	2,170.24	2,278.93
Equity Value (M)	2,547.24	2,668.82	2,795.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	341.61	341.61	341.61
Fair Value	$7.46	$7.81	$8.18
Upside / Downside	16.87%	22.45%	28.25%

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Vistry Group PLC (VTY.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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