Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Utilico Emerging Markets Trust PLC (UEM.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.49 - $3.53$3.00
Multi-Stage$3.78 - $4.15$3.97
Blended Fair Value$3.48
Current Price$2.55
Upside36.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.24%2.60%0.090.090.090.090.090.090.070.080.070.07
YoY Growth---0.73%-1.28%-2.22%1.98%1.11%36.06%-14.24%4.86%3.73%3.06%
Dividend Yield--4.13%4.06%4.19%4.15%4.61%5.57%3.04%3.65%3.43%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.128.835.30
Cash Retained (M)54.1754.1754.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.12-8.83-5.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.0545.3448.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)188.62188.62188.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.49$3.00$3.53
Upside / Downside-2.46%17.76%38.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.6169.9069.2168.5167.8367.1569.16
Payout Ratio23.28%36.63%49.97%63.31%76.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.4425.6034.5843.3852.0060.4463.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)23.0823.3223.55
Year 2 PV (M)28.1128.6829.27
Year 3 PV (M)31.7932.7733.77
Year 4 PV (M)34.3535.7737.24
Year 5 PV (M)35.9937.8739.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)560.40589.58619.96
Equity Value (M)713.72747.99783.62
Shares Outstanding (M)188.62188.62188.62
Fair Value$3.78$3.97$4.15
Upside / Downside48.39%55.51%62.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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