Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Investment AB Spiltan (SPLTN.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$262.85 - $399.87$327.14
Multi-Stage$533.67 - $588.26$560.42
Blended Fair Value$443.78
Current Price$207.50
Upside113.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.75%0.00%1.021.021.021.020.001.061.160.580.550.10
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-8.90%98.56%6.59%426.52%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.49%0.50%0.42%0.38%0.00%0.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)912.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)846.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)182.45114.0368.42
Cash Retained (M)846.60846.60846.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-182.45-114.03-68.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)664.15732.57778.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.5430.5430.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.7523.9925.48
LTM Dividend per Share2.152.152.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.7523.9925.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.9026.1427.63
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$262.85$327.14$399.87
Upside / Downside26.67%57.66%92.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)912.27903.14894.11885.17876.32867.56893.58
Payout Ratio7.20%23.76%40.32%56.88%73.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.67214.57360.50503.48643.57780.80826.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)198.68200.70202.73
Year 2 PV (M)309.06315.40321.80
Year 3 PV (M)399.66412.02424.64
Year 4 PV (M)473.02492.62512.83
Year 5 PV (M)531.37559.04587.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,385.3215,134.4015,914.36
Equity Value (M)16,297.1117,114.1917,964.21
Shares Outstanding (M)30.5430.5430.54
Fair Value$533.67$560.42$588.26
Upside / Downside157.19%170.08%183.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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