DDM Analysis: SIEVI.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.57 - $0.82	$0.70
Multi-Stage	$0.87 - $0.96	$0.92
Blended Fair Value	$0.81
Current Price	$1.18
Upside	-31.72%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014	2013
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.04	0.19	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.45	0.10	0.35	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-78.85%	533.82%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	350.00%	-71.43%	483.69%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	2.10%	17.65%	2.37%	0.00%	0.00%	34.97%	7.54%	30.78%	6.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.76

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.96	0.60	0.36
Cash Retained (M)	4.76	4.76	4.76
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.96	-0.60	-0.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.80	4.16	4.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	57.62	57.62	57.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.07	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.07	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.07	0.07	0.08
WACC / Discount Rate	9.36%	9.36%	9.36%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$0.57	$0.70	$0.82
Upside / Downside	-51.34%	-41.05%	-30.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4.79	4.75	4.70	4.65	4.61	4.56	4.70
Payout Ratio	0.75%	18.60%	36.45%	54.30%	72.15%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.04	0.88	1.71	2.53	3.32	4.10	4.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.36%	9.36%	9.36%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	0.80	0.81	0.82
Year 2 PV (M)	1.40	1.43	1.46
Year 3 PV (M)	1.87	1.93	1.99
Year 4 PV (M)	2.23	2.32	2.42
Year 5 PV (M)	2.49	2.62	2.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	41.49	43.65	45.89
Equity Value (M)	50.28	52.76	55.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	57.62	57.62	57.62
Fair Value	$0.87	$0.92	$0.96
Upside / Downside	-26.04%	-22.39%	-18.60%

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Sievi Capital Plc (SIEVI.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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