Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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3R Petroleum Óleo e Gás S.A. (RRRP3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.51 - $36.45$30.88
Multi-Stage$38.69 - $42.55$40.58
Blended Fair Value$35.73
Current Price$17.71
Upside101.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.230.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,568.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,476.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)313.76196.10117.66
Cash Retained (M)1,476.241,476.241,476.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-313.76-196.10-117.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,162.481,280.141,358.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)419.70419.70419.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.773.053.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.773.053.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.993.273.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$25.51$30.88$36.45
Upside / Downside44.06%74.35%105.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,568.811,553.121,537.591,522.211,506.991,491.921,536.68
Payout Ratio5.90%22.72%39.54%56.36%73.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.57352.87607.97857.921,102.821,342.731,421.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)319.04322.30325.55
Year 2 PV (M)496.98507.18517.47
Year 3 PV (M)634.07653.68673.69
Year 4 PV (M)736.93767.47798.95
Year 5 PV (M)811.22853.46897.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,239.3213,928.7314,646.55
Equity Value (M)16,237.5717,032.8217,859.67
Shares Outstanding (M)419.70419.70419.70
Fair Value$38.69$40.58$42.55
Upside / Downside118.46%129.16%140.28%

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