Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Eletrobras Participações S.A. - Eletropar (LIPR3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.98 - $31.03$25.09
Multi-Stage$45.32 - $49.96$47.60
Blended Fair Value$36.34
Current Price$41.25
Upside-11.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.82%17.85%1.412.371.611.100.002.117.420.720.460.00
YoY Growth---40.61%47.20%46.26%0.00%-100.00%-71.55%932.26%57.90%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.41%4.63%2.44%1.82%0.00%2.73%12.37%1.67%0.81%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.003.121.87
Cash Retained (M)20.4420.4420.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.00-3.12-1.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.4517.3218.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.7711.7711.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.311.471.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.311.471.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.701.861.96
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$19.98$25.09$31.03
Upside / Downside-51.55%-39.17%-24.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.9924.7424.5024.2524.0123.7724.48
Payout Ratio18.20%32.56%46.92%61.28%75.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.558.0611.4914.8618.1621.3922.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7.507.587.65
Year 2 PV (M)9.9610.1710.37
Year 3 PV (M)11.9912.3612.74
Year 4 PV (M)13.6414.2114.79
Year 5 PV (M)14.9615.7416.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)475.35500.10525.88
Equity Value (M)533.40560.15587.98
Shares Outstanding (M)11.7711.7711.77
Fair Value$45.32$47.60$49.96
Upside / Downside9.88%15.39%21.12%

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