DDM Analysis: FAGR.BR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$115.74 - $443.44	$331.99
Multi-Stage	$62.89 - $68.88	$65.83
Blended Fair Value	$198.91
Current Price	$22.45
Upside	786.01%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.58%	-0.53%	0.29	0.25	0.20	0.18	0.08	0.12	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.43
YoY Growth	-	-	15.23%	25.35%	11.84%	125.95%	-33.02%	20.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	41.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.72%	1.51%	1.50%	1.21%	0.42%	0.61%	0.69%	0.00%	0.00%	6.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	163.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)	118.38

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	32.72	20.45	12.27
Cash Retained (M)	118.38	118.38	118.38
(-) Cash Required (M)	-32.72	-20.45	-12.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)	85.65	97.93	106.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	72.98	72.98	72.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.17	1.34	1.45
LTM Dividend per Share	0.62	0.62	0.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.17	1.34	1.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.79	1.96	2.07
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	4.91%	5.91%	6.91%
Fair Value	$115.74	$331.99	$443.44
Upside / Downside	415.53%	1,378.79%	1,875.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	163.62	173.29	183.53	194.38	205.86	218.02	224.56
Payout Ratio	27.65%	40.12%	52.59%	65.06%	77.53%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45.24	69.53	96.52	126.46	159.60	196.22	207.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	4.91%	5.91%	6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)	64.65	65.26	65.88
Year 2 PV (M)	83.44	85.04	86.66
Year 3 PV (M)	101.65	104.59	107.58
Year 4 PV (M)	119.29	123.90	128.65
Year 5 PV (M)	136.36	142.99	149.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,083.97	4,282.36	4,488.39
Equity Value (M)	4,589.36	4,804.14	5,027.01
Shares Outstanding (M)	72.98	72.98	72.98
Fair Value	$62.89	$65.83	$68.88
Upside / Downside	180.12%	193.23%	206.83%

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Fagron N.V. (FAGR.BR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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