DDM Analysis: ALPM.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$213.96 - $524.13	$491.18
Multi-Stage	$76.09 - $83.29	$79.62
Blended Fair Value	$285.40
Current Price	$30.00
Upside	851.34%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.99%	9.95%	0.48	0.48	0.47	0.35	0.17	0.30	0.27	0.25	0.24	0.20
YoY Growth	-	-	1.09%	0.98%	35.00%	108.30%	-43.92%	10.26%	10.01%	4.32%	19.07%	6.47%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.57%	1.51%	1.63%	0.93%	0.80%	1.56%	1.60%	1.12%	1.43%	1.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	14.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)	9.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.85	1.78	1.07
Cash Retained (M)	9.62	9.62	9.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.85	-1.78	-1.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6.77	7.84	8.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5.40	5.40	5.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.25	1.45	1.58
LTM Dividend per Share	0.86	0.86	0.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.25	1.45	1.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.11	2.31	2.44
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$213.96	$491.18	$524.13
Upside / Downside	613.21%	1,537.28%	1,647.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	14.23	15.16	16.14	17.19	18.31	19.50	20.09
Payout Ratio	32.45%	43.96%	55.47%	66.98%	78.49%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.62	6.66	8.96	11.52	14.37	17.55	18.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	6.20	6.25	6.31
Year 2 PV (M)	7.74	7.89	8.04
Year 3 PV (M)	9.26	9.52	9.79
Year 4 PV (M)	10.74	11.16	11.58
Year 5 PV (M)	12.20	12.79	13.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	364.81	382.43	400.72
Equity Value (M)	410.94	430.04	449.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	5.40	5.40	5.40
Fair Value	$76.09	$79.62	$83.29
Upside / Downside	153.62%	165.41%	177.63%

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Precia S.A. (ALPM.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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