Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Entrust Inc. (7191.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,270.33 - $2,771.68$1,821.57
Multi-Stage$904.85 - $989.13$946.22
Blended Fair Value$1,383.90
Current Price$904.00
Upside53.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS23.63%0.00%21.4715.9812.9811.4810.467.436.425.910.000.00
YoY Growth--34.37%23.13%13.03%9.71%40.76%15.71%8.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.37%1.93%1.38%2.00%1.49%1.00%1.21%0.75%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,465.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,364.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)293.06183.17109.90
Cash Retained (M)1,364.921,364.921,364.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-293.06-183.17-109.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,071.861,181.761,255.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.3922.3922.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share47.8752.7756.05
LTM Dividend per Share4.484.484.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share47.8752.7756.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend52.3557.2660.53
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,270.33$1,821.57$2,771.68
Upside / Downside40.52%101.50%206.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,465.321,560.571,662.011,770.041,885.092,007.622,067.85
Payout Ratio6.85%23.48%40.11%56.74%73.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.40366.44666.651,004.331,383.101,806.861,912.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)330.46333.59336.73
Year 2 PV (M)542.15552.48562.90
Year 3 PV (M)736.57757.71779.26
Year 4 PV (M)914.75949.92986.11
Year 5 PV (M)1,077.661,129.721,183.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,660.0317,464.7118,300.20
Equity Value (M)20,261.6221,188.1422,148.95
Shares Outstanding (M)22.3922.3922.39
Fair Value$904.85$946.22$989.13
Upside / Downside0.09%4.67%9.42%

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