Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Beijing InHand Networks Technology Co., Ltd. (688080.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.21 - $81.52$54.36
Multi-Stage$27.18 - $29.73$28.43
Blended Fair Value$41.39
Current Price$56.80
Upside-27.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS150.70%0.00%0.180.100.100.110.140.000.000.010.000.00
YoY Growth--76.12%0.27%-12.52%-19.98%7,910.97%-27.40%-65.76%329.61%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.37%0.28%0.23%0.29%0.53%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)149.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.8118.6311.18
Cash Retained (M)148.61148.61148.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.81-18.63-11.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)118.79129.97137.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.7173.7173.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.611.761.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.611.761.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.621.771.87
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$38.21$54.36$81.52
Upside / Downside-32.73%-4.30%43.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)149.06158.75169.07180.06191.76204.22210.35
Payout Ratio0.30%18.24%36.18%54.12%72.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.4528.9661.1797.45138.18183.80194.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)26.0926.3426.58
Year 2 PV (M)49.6450.5951.54
Year 3 PV (M)71.2473.2875.36
Year 4 PV (M)91.0094.4998.09
Year 5 PV (M)109.03114.30119.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,656.751,736.771,819.85
Equity Value (M)2,003.742,095.762,191.20
Shares Outstanding (M)73.7173.7173.71
Fair Value$27.18$28.43$29.73
Upside / Downside-52.14%-49.94%-47.66%

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