Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KINGSEMI Co., Ltd. (688037.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.15 - $4.64$3.87
Multi-Stage$5.59 - $6.15$5.87
Blended Fair Value$4.87
Current Price$149.00
Upside-96.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.260.240.140.100.050.000.020.020.010.00
YoY Growth--11.28%66.09%48.99%91.50%0.00%-100.00%19.00%61.82%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.27%0.32%0.14%0.14%0.14%0.00%0.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.0210.646.38
Cash Retained (M)61.8861.8861.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.02-10.64-6.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.8651.2455.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)209.14209.14209.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.15$3.87$4.64
Upside / Downside-97.88%-97.40%-96.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85.1284.2783.4382.6081.7780.9583.38
Payout Ratio27.30%39.84%52.38%64.92%77.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.2433.5843.7053.6263.3472.8677.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)30.7431.0631.37
Year 2 PV (M)36.6437.3938.15
Year 3 PV (M)41.1642.4343.73
Year 4 PV (M)44.5146.3648.26
Year 5 PV (M)46.8849.3251.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)969.801,020.301,072.89
Equity Value (M)1,169.731,226.851,286.25
Shares Outstanding (M)209.14209.14209.14
Fair Value$5.59$5.87$6.15
Upside / Downside-96.25%-96.06%-95.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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