DDM Analysis: 605507.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$127.96 - $311.41	$291.83
Multi-Stage	$45.54 - $49.83	$47.64
Blended Fair Value	$169.74
Current Price	$22.82
Upside	643.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	41.63%	0.00%	0.35	0.65	0.23	0.60	0.34	0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-46.33%	182.06%	-61.58%	77.48%	452.07%	8.65%	-32.44%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.71%	4.21%	0.95%	1.96%	0.72%	0.13%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	872.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	350.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)	522.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	174.59	109.12	65.47
Cash Retained (M)	522.05	522.05	522.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-174.59	-109.12	-65.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	347.46	412.94	456.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	557.50	557.50	557.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	0.74	0.82
LTM Dividend per Share	0.63	0.63	0.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	0.74	0.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.25	1.37	1.45
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$127.96	$291.83	$311.41
Upside / Downside	460.73%	1,178.85%	1,264.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	872.95	929.70	990.13	1,054.48	1,123.02	1,196.02	1,231.90
Payout Ratio	40.20%	50.16%	60.12%	70.08%	80.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	350.90	466.31	595.24	738.97	898.86	1,076.42	1,139.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	433.61	437.72	441.83
Year 2 PV (M)	514.68	524.48	534.37
Year 3 PV (M)	594.13	611.19	628.57
Year 4 PV (M)	672.00	697.85	724.43
Year 5 PV (M)	748.31	784.45	821.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22,423.09	23,506.13	24,630.63
Equity Value (M)	25,385.81	26,561.81	27,781.80
Shares Outstanding (M)	557.50	557.50	557.50
Fair Value	$45.54	$47.64	$49.83
Upside / Downside	99.54%	108.78%	118.37%

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Guobang Pharma Ltd. (605507.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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