DDM Analysis: 600730.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.10 - $0.15	$0.12
Multi-Stage	$0.17 - $0.18	$0.17
Blended Fair Value	$0.15
Current Price	$8.68
Upside	-98.29%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.13	0.20	0.18	0.11	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-99.66%	-31.04%	18,269.33%	-99.95%	-35.38%	10.77%	65.83%	-36.10%	32.81%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.12%	0.18%	0.00%	3.01%	2.92%	2.87%	0.94%	1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	8.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.69	1.06	0.63
Cash Retained (M)	2.63	2.63	2.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.69	-1.06	-0.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.94	1.57	1.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	537.42	537.42	537.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.01	0.01	0.01
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$0.10	$0.12	$0.15
Upside / Downside	-98.81%	-98.57%	-98.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	8.46	8.37	8.29	8.21	8.12	8.04	8.28
Payout Ratio	68.94%	73.15%	77.36%	81.58%	85.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.83	6.13	6.41	6.69	6.97	7.24	7.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	5.51	5.57	5.63
Year 2 PV (M)	5.19	5.30	5.41
Year 3 PV (M)	4.88	5.03	5.19
Year 4 PV (M)	4.57	4.76	4.96
Year 5 PV (M)	4.27	4.50	4.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	64.72	68.09	71.60
Equity Value (M)	89.16	93.25	97.51
Shares Outstanding (M)	537.42	537.42	537.42
Fair Value	$0.17	$0.17	$0.18
Upside / Downside	-98.09%	-98.00%	-97.91%

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China Hi-Tech Group Co., Ltd. (600730.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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