DDM Analysis: 300968.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.43 - $0.62	$0.52
Multi-Stage	$0.73 - $0.79	$0.76
Blended Fair Value	$0.64
Current Price	$15.62
Upside	-95.89%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	26.99%	0.05	0.21	0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	-75.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-72.60%	-74.07%	814.61%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.31%	2.08%	2.24%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.01%	0.05%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	25.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	20.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5.04	3.15	1.89
Cash Retained (M)	4.51	4.51	4.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5.04	-3.15	-1.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.53	1.36	2.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	388.46	388.46	388.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.05	0.06	0.06
WACC / Discount Rate	9.70%	9.70%	9.70%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$0.43	$0.52	$0.62
Upside / Downside	-97.22%	-96.64%	-96.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	25.18	24.92	24.67	24.43	24.18	23.94	24.66
Payout Ratio	82.10%	83.68%	85.26%	86.84%	88.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	20.67	20.86	21.04	21.21	21.38	21.55	22.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.70%	9.70%	9.70%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	18.82	19.01	19.20
Year 2 PV (M)	17.13	17.48	17.84
Year 3 PV (M)	15.59	16.07	16.56
Year 4 PV (M)	14.18	14.77	15.37
Year 5 PV (M)	12.89	13.56	14.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	203.70	214.31	225.35
Equity Value (M)	282.31	295.20	308.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	388.46	388.46	388.46
Fair Value	$0.73	$0.76	$0.79
Upside / Downside	-95.35%	-95.13%	-94.91%

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Guangdong Green Precision Components Co., Ltd (300968.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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