DDM Analysis: 300777.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17.97 - $38.37	$25.57
Multi-Stage	$13.18 - $14.39	$13.77
Blended Fair Value	$19.67
Current Price	$35.25
Upside	-44.19%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	57.36%	42.31%	0.12	0.25	0.08	0.10	0.07	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-52.42%	201.20%	-13.13%	44.58%	436.11%	-46.87%	1.64%	923.65%	-82.93%	274.08%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.35%	0.83%	0.16%	0.19%	0.15%	0.04%	0.27%	0.26%	0.03%	0.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	414.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	96.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	318.48

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	82.99	51.87	31.12
Cash Retained (M)	318.48	318.48	318.48
(-) Cash Required (M)	-82.99	-51.87	-31.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	235.49	266.61	287.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	436.91	436.91	436.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.61	0.66
LTM Dividend per Share	0.22	0.22	0.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.61	0.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.76	0.83	0.88
WACC / Discount Rate	9.96%	9.96%	9.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$17.97	$25.57	$38.37
Upside / Downside	-49.03%	-27.46%	8.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	414.96	441.93	470.65	501.25	533.83	568.53	585.58
Payout Ratio	23.25%	36.60%	49.95%	63.30%	76.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	96.48	161.75	235.09	317.29	409.18	511.67	541.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.96%	9.96%	9.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	145.71	147.09	148.48
Year 2 PV (M)	190.79	194.43	198.10
Year 3 PV (M)	231.98	238.64	245.42
Year 4 PV (M)	269.50	279.87	290.53
Year 5 PV (M)	303.60	318.27	333.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,616.91	4,839.91	5,071.44
Equity Value (M)	5,758.50	6,018.21	6,287.46
Shares Outstanding (M)	436.91	436.91	436.91
Fair Value	$13.18	$13.77	$14.39
Upside / Downside	-62.61%	-60.92%	-59.18%

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Sinofibers Technology Co.,Ltd. (300777.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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