DDM Analysis: 300687.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7.67 - $35.33	$17.32
Multi-Stage	$4.16 - $4.55	$4.35
Blended Fair Value	$10.84
Current Price	$28.20
Upside	-61.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	35.82%	0.00%	0.16	0.12	0.11	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	33.59%	11.53%	21.32%	42.10%	79.94%	-9.30%	122.22%	2,589.03%	-94.12%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.50%	0.65%	0.28%	0.39%	0.35%	0.33%	0.32%	0.12%	0.01%	0.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	72.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	52.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19.56

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14.47	9.04	5.43
Cash Retained (M)	19.56	19.56	19.56
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14.47	-9.04	-5.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)	5.10	10.52	14.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	407.16	407.16	407.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.03	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.03	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.16	0.16
WACC / Discount Rate	7.46%	7.46%	7.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$7.67	$17.32	$35.33
Upside / Downside	-72.81%	-38.58%	25.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	72.33	77.04	82.04	87.38	93.05	99.10	102.08
Payout Ratio	72.96%	76.36%	79.77%	83.18%	86.59%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	52.77	58.83	65.45	72.68	80.58	89.19	94.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.46%	7.46%	7.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	54.23	54.75	55.26
Year 2 PV (M)	55.62	56.68	57.75
Year 3 PV (M)	56.94	58.58	60.24
Year 4 PV (M)	58.20	60.44	62.74
Year 5 PV (M)	59.39	62.26	65.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,410.92	1,479.07	1,549.82
Equity Value (M)	1,695.30	1,771.76	1,851.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	407.16	407.16	407.16
Fair Value	$4.16	$4.35	$4.55
Upside / Downside	-85.23%	-84.57%	-83.88%

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Guangzhou Sie Consulting Co., Ltd. (300687.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener