Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Suntront Technology Co., Ltd. (300259.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.11 - $41.19$38.60
Multi-Stage$5.75 - $6.29$6.01
Blended Fair Value$22.31
Current Price$3.88
Upside474.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.04%17.74%0.090.150.150.090.050.010.050.020.010.02
YoY Growth---40.97%-1.23%66.67%80.00%395.88%-78.40%211.90%89.04%-66.00%36.36%
Dividend Yield--2.57%4.45%4.14%2.12%1.18%0.22%1.19%0.31%0.16%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)177.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.1229.4517.67
Cash Retained (M)177.00177.00177.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.12-29.45-17.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)129.88147.55159.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,137.601,137.601,137.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15.11$38.60$41.19
Upside / Downside289.33%894.81%961.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235.60250.91267.22284.59303.09322.79332.47
Payout Ratio24.87%37.90%50.92%63.95%76.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.5995.09136.08181.99233.30290.51307.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)88.3189.1589.99
Year 2 PV (M)117.38119.62121.88
Year 3 PV (M)145.81150.00154.26
Year 4 PV (M)173.61180.28187.15
Year 5 PV (M)200.78210.48220.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,812.006,092.726,384.18
Equity Value (M)6,537.896,842.257,158.01
Shares Outstanding (M)1,137.601,137.601,137.60
Fair Value$5.75$6.01$6.29
Upside / Downside48.12%55.02%62.17%

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