Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SM Entertainment Co., Ltd. (041510.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113,830.42 - $170,972.53$140,880.41
Multi-Stage$216,638.27 - $238,752.93$227,477.42
Blended Fair Value$184,178.91
Current Price$130,000.00
Upside41.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1,228.521,239.30204.430.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.87%506.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.14%1.49%0.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)309,968.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,888.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)297,080.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61,993.7838,746.1123,247.67
Cash Retained (M)297,080.82297,080.82297,080.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-61,993.78-38,746.11-23,247.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)235,087.04258,334.71273,833.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.8922.8922.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share10,268.2811,283.7011,960.65
LTM Dividend per Share562.93562.93562.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share10,268.2811,283.7011,960.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend10,831.2111,846.6312,523.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$113,830.42$140,880.41$170,972.53
Upside / Downside-12.44%8.37%31.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)309,968.88306,869.20303,800.50300,762.50297,754.87294,777.32303,620.64
Payout Ratio4.16%21.33%38.49%55.66%72.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,888.0665,443.80116,947.14167,413.86216,859.55265,299.59280,849.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)60,361.3460,977.2761,593.20
Year 2 PV (M)99,487.90101,528.63103,590.07
Year 3 PV (M)131,359.79135,422.18139,567.47
Year 4 PV (M)156,942.27163,446.80170,151.44
Year 5 PV (M)177,087.66186,309.03195,910.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,334,585.944,560,297.884,795,316.08
Equity Value (M)4,959,824.915,207,981.795,466,128.87
Shares Outstanding (M)22.8922.8922.89
Fair Value$216,638.27$227,477.42$238,752.93
Upside / Downside66.64%74.98%83.66%

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