Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SHINSEGAE FOOD Inc. (031440.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94,464.96 - $179,928.78$128,893.84
Multi-Stage$152,491.16 - $167,674.85$159,937.01
Blended Fair Value$144,415.42
Current Price$40,300.00
Upside258.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%1.22%749.73749.96749.96749.96749.77749.74749.96599.97499.97750.26
YoY Growth---0.03%0.00%0.00%0.03%0.00%-0.03%25.00%20.00%-33.36%12.99%
Dividend Yield--2.55%1.96%1.67%0.97%1.01%1.59%0.80%0.48%0.33%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23,755.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,485.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,270.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,751.142,969.461,781.68
Cash Retained (M)20,270.0820,270.0820,270.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,751.14-2,969.46-1,781.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,518.9417,300.6218,488.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.873.873.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,007.474,467.564,774.28
LTM Dividend per Share900.09900.09900.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,007.474,467.564,774.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,907.575,367.655,674.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Fair Value$94,464.96$128,893.84$179,928.78
Upside / Downside134.40%219.84%346.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23,755.6924,244.9824,744.3525,254.0025,774.1526,305.0227,094.17
Payout Ratio14.67%29.74%44.80%59.87%74.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,485.627,210.0211,086.3715,119.3519,313.7523,674.5225,062.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Year 1 PV (M)6,715.636,782.086,848.54
Year 2 PV (M)9,618.129,809.4010,002.57
Year 3 PV (M)12,217.5412,583.8212,957.35
Year 4 PV (M)14,536.7615,120.7215,722.11
Year 5 PV (M)16,597.1017,434.6718,305.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)530,836.88557,625.35585,484.56
Equity Value (M)590,522.03619,356.05649,320.85
Shares Outstanding (M)3.873.873.87
Fair Value$152,491.16$159,937.01$167,674.85
Upside / Downside278.39%296.87%316.07%

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