Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Dongil Industries Co.,Ltd. (004890.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$72,187.24 - $127,390.59$95,598.59
Multi-Stage$129,327.42 - $142,240.08$135,658.94
Blended Fair Value$115,628.76
Current Price$44,450.00
Upside160.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.95%2.32%1,003.393,010.174,013.571,806.10752.541,518.481,721.371,240.95623.061,055.67
YoY Growth---66.67%-25.00%122.22%140.00%-50.44%-11.79%38.71%99.17%-40.98%32.33%
Dividend Yield--2.51%6.86%1.83%1.03%0.95%3.34%3.00%1.66%0.75%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,706.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,707.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,998.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,341.281,463.30877.98
Cash Retained (M)8,998.818,998.818,998.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,341.28-1,463.30-877.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,657.537,535.518,120.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.162.162.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,083.973,490.683,761.82
LTM Dividend per Share1,254.241,254.241,254.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,083.973,490.683,761.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,338.214,744.925,016.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$72,187.24$95,598.59$127,390.59
Upside / Downside62.40%115.07%186.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,706.4011,860.9012,017.4312,176.0412,336.7412,499.5612,874.55
Payout Ratio23.13%36.50%49.88%63.25%76.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,707.594,329.625,993.997,701.559,453.1311,249.6011,908.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)4,030.974,071.164,111.34
Year 2 PV (M)5,195.615,299.715,404.84
Year 3 PV (M)6,215.256,402.976,594.44
Year 4 PV (M)7,102.597,390.057,686.15
Year 5 PV (M)7,869.348,269.458,685.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)248,771.80261,420.41274,578.34
Equity Value (M)279,185.57292,853.74307,060.78
Shares Outstanding (M)2.162.162.16
Fair Value$129,327.42$135,658.94$142,240.08
Upside / Downside190.95%205.19%220.00%

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