DDM Analysis: 002871.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$46.70 - $114.36	$107.18
Multi-Stage	$17.14 - $18.73	$17.92
Blended Fair Value	$62.55
Current Price	$16.71
Upside	274.31%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	26.32%	0.00%	0.30	0.20	0.24	0.21	0.21	0.09	0.08	0.20	0.00	0.16
YoY Growth	-	-	47.76%	-15.60%	14.68%	-0.81%	126.70%	14.43%	-60.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.13%	2.21%	2.08%	2.48%	3.02%	1.04%	0.62%	1.93%	0.00%	2.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	144.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	115.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)	29.01

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	28.85	18.03	10.82
Cash Retained (M)	29.01	29.01	29.01
(-) Cash Required (M)	-28.85	-18.03	-10.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.16	10.98	18.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	250.82	250.82	250.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.04	0.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.46	0.46	0.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.04	0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.46	0.50	0.53
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$46.70	$107.18	$114.36
Upside / Downside	179.45%	541.39%	584.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	144.23	153.61	163.59	174.23	185.55	197.61	203.54
Payout Ratio	79.89%	81.91%	83.93%	85.96%	87.98%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	115.23	125.82	137.31	149.76	163.24	177.85	188.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	116.99	118.10	119.21
Year 2 PV (M)	118.71	120.97	123.25
Year 3 PV (M)	120.38	123.84	127.36
Year 4 PV (M)	122.01	126.71	131.53
Year 5 PV (M)	123.60	129.57	135.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,696.87	3,875.43	4,060.83
Equity Value (M)	4,298.57	4,494.62	4,697.95
Shares Outstanding (M)	250.82	250.82	250.82
Fair Value	$17.14	$17.92	$18.73
Upside / Downside	2.56%	7.24%	12.09%

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Qingdao Weflo Valve Co., Ltd. (002871.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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