DDM Analysis: 002247.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.30 - $0.42	$0.36
Multi-Stage	$0.44 - $0.48	$0.46
Blended Fair Value	$0.41
Current Price	$2.79
Upside	-85.30%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-78.65%	-50.80%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.10	0.10	0.06	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-85.53%	-72.20%	0.38%	66.12%	101.97%	100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.18%	1.47%	2.06%	0.80%	0.38%	0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	39.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)	39.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7.93	4.95	2.97
Cash Retained (M)	39.55	39.55	39.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7.93	-4.95	-2.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)	31.62	34.59	36.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	852.56	852.56	852.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.04	0.04	0.04
WACC / Discount Rate	9.88%	9.88%	9.88%
Growth Rate	-2.32%	-1.32%	-0.32%
Fair Value	$0.30	$0.36	$0.42
Upside / Downside	-89.32%	-87.15%	-84.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	39.64	39.11	38.60	38.09	37.58	37.09	38.20
Payout Ratio	0.22%	18.18%	36.13%	54.09%	72.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.09	7.11	13.95	20.60	27.08	33.38	35.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.88%	9.88%	9.88%
Growth Rate	-2.32%	-1.32%	-0.32%
Year 1 PV (M)	6.41	6.47	6.54
Year 2 PV (M)	11.32	11.55	11.79
Year 3 PV (M)	15.06	15.53	16.01
Year 4 PV (M)	17.84	18.58	19.34
Year 5 PV (M)	19.81	20.84	21.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	304.98	320.91	337.51
Equity Value (M)	375.41	393.89	413.10
Shares Outstanding (M)	852.56	852.56	852.56
Fair Value	$0.44	$0.46	$0.48
Upside / Downside	-84.22%	-83.44%	-82.63%

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Zhejiang Juli Culture Development Co.,Ltd. (002247.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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