Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CHTC Helon Co., Ltd. (000677.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.06 - $0.09$0.07
Multi-Stage$0.09 - $0.10$0.10
Blended Fair Value$0.08
Current Price$4.82
Upside-98.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.010.000.000.05
YoY Growth---100.00%-74.98%-20.84%54.90%-44.43%-5.35%36.04%33.23%-94.33%-20.82%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.03%0.11%0.12%0.10%0.16%0.11%0.12%0.05%0.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.470.920.55
Cash Retained (M)7.337.337.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.47-0.92-0.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.856.416.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)863.58863.58863.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.010.010.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.06$0.07$0.09
Upside / Downside-98.76%-98.50%-98.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.377.307.237.157.087.017.22
Payout Ratio0.61%18.49%36.37%54.24%72.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.041.352.633.885.116.316.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.221.241.25
Year 2 PV (M)2.162.202.25
Year 3 PV (M)2.892.983.07
Year 4 PV (M)3.443.593.73
Year 5 PV (M)3.864.064.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)65.3568.7572.29
Equity Value (M)78.9182.8186.85
Shares Outstanding (M)863.58863.58863.58
Fair Value$0.09$0.10$0.10
Upside / Downside-98.10%-98.01%-97.91%

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