Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Caleres, Inc. (CAL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.93 - $7.30$6.06
Multi-Stage$12.26 - $13.52$12.88
Blended Fair Value$9.47
Current Price$11.04
Upside-14.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.23%-2.30%0.300.300.310.330.330.350.370.370.370.38
YoY Growth---2.61%-2.26%-4.36%-1.08%-5.76%-4.68%-0.37%-0.64%-1.22%0.13%
Dividend Yield--1.87%0.82%1.37%1.42%1.41%4.78%1.37%1.13%1.29%1.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.122.581.55
Cash Retained (M)11.0911.0911.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.12-2.58-1.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.968.519.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.6432.6432.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.260.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.260.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.550.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-3.40%-2.40%-1.40%
Fair Value$4.93$6.06$7.30
Upside / Downside-55.32%-45.07%-33.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.6120.1219.6319.1618.7018.2518.80
Payout Ratio46.21%54.97%63.73%72.48%81.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.5211.0612.5113.8915.1916.4317.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-3.40%-2.40%-1.40%
Year 1 PV (M)10.2810.3810.49
Year 2 PV (M)10.8111.0311.26
Year 3 PV (M)11.1511.5011.86
Year 4 PV (M)11.3411.8112.31
Year 5 PV (M)11.3911.9912.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)345.34363.59382.60
Equity Value (M)400.31420.32441.14
Shares Outstanding (M)32.6432.6432.64
Fair Value$12.26$12.88$13.52
Upside / Downside11.09%16.65%22.43%

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