DDM Analysis: 1099.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$368.59 - $986.39	$924.39
Multi-Stage	$142.21 - $155.49	$148.72
Blended Fair Value	$536.56
Current Price	$16.77
Upside	3,099.50%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.14%	15.06%	0.87	0.82	0.75	0.69	0.60	0.56	0.51	0.44	0.36	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	6.10%	9.33%	8.70%	15.45%	6.38%	11.18%	13.99%	21.94%	32.26%	28.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.36%	4.49%	4.29%	5.00%	3.77%	2.21%	1.75%	1.56%	1.27%	1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,456.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9,757.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,091.34	1,932.09	1,159.25
Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54	5,699.54	5,699.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,091.34	-1,932.09	-1,159.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,608.20	3,767.45	4,540.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
LTM Dividend per Share	3.13	3.13	3.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.97	4.34	4.59
WACC / Discount Rate	6.64%	6.64%	6.64%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$368.59	$924.39	$986.39
Upside / Downside	2,097.91%	5,412.16%	5,781.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,456.72	16,461.40	17,531.40	18,670.94	19,884.55	21,177.04	21,812.35
Payout Ratio	63.13%	68.50%	73.88%	79.25%	84.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9,757.18	11,276.17	12,951.40	14,796.78	16,827.33	19,059.34	20,176.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.64%	6.64%	6.64%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,475.19	10,574.48	10,673.77
Year 2 PV (M)	11,176.79	11,389.68	11,604.57
Year 3 PV (M)	11,862.27	12,202.79	12,549.77
Year 4 PV (M)	12,531.87	13,013.81	13,509.52
Year 5 PV (M)	13,185.87	13,822.75	14,484.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)	383,933.69	402,477.84	421,731.70
Equity Value (M)	443,165.69	463,481.35	484,553.35
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
Fair Value	$142.21	$148.72	$155.49
Upside / Downside	747.97%	786.85%	827.17%

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600962.SS	SDIC Zhonglu Fruit Juice Co.,Ltd.	0.30%	$0.07	30.06%
603601.SS	Chongqing Zaisheng Technology Co., Ltd.	0.30%	$0.04	46.68%
603667.SS	Zhejiang XCC Group Co.,Ltd	0.30%	$0.21	83.57%
605218.SS	Ways Electron Co.,Ltd.	0.30%	$0.06	23.94%
688109.SS	Pinming Technology Co., Ltd.	0.30%	$0.38	44.16%
688248.SS	China Southern Power Grid Technology Co.,Ltd	0.30%	$0.14	20.49%
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DOFG.OL	DOF Group ASA	0.30%	$0.29	19.15%
DRD.JO	DRDGOLD Limited	0.30%	$15.39	40.74%
HYDROGEN.BK	HYDROGEN Freehold And Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust	0.30%	$0.02	3.25%
SONACOMS.BO	Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited	0.30%	$1.44	14.64%
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SVM	Silvercorp Metals Inc.	0.30%	$0.03	21.82%
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002268.SZ	CETC Cyberspace Security Technology Co., Ltd.	0.29%	$0.06	32.01%
002389.SZ	Aerospace CH UAV Co.,Ltd	0.29%	$0.07	76.61%
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071090.KS	Histeel Co.,Ltd.	0.29%	$10.03	54.30%
0A37.L	Betsson AB	0.29%	$0.43	30.16%
300101.SZ	Chengdu CORPRO Technology Co., Ltd.	0.29%	$0.08	76.66%
300731.SZ	Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd.	0.29%	$0.17	62.10%
300811.SZ	POCO Holding Co., Ltd.	0.29%	$0.20	15.44%
300872.SZ	Tansun Technology Co., Ltd.	0.29%	$0.06	57.03%
300942.SZ	Shenzhen Bioeasy Biotechnology Co., Ltd.	0.29%	$0.03	35.42%
300963.SZ	Shanghai Zhongzhou Special Alloy Materials Co., Ltd.	0.29%	$0.06	35.64%
300991.SZ	Shenzhen Chuangyitong Technology Co.,Ltd.	0.29%	$0.12	69.32%
600250.SS	Nanjing Business & Tourism Corp., Ltd.	0.29%	$0.03	41.28%
600851.SS	Shanghai Haixin Group Co., Ltd.	0.29%	$0.02	15.14%
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Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd. (1099.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener