Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Z.M.H Hammerman Ltd (ZMH.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$321.50 - $378.78$354.97
Multi-Stage$66.95 - $73.24$70.04
Blended Fair Value$212.50
Current Price$42.10
Upside404.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.41%34.96%1.500.842.500.500.860.730.800.820.170.44
YoY Growth--78.57%-66.40%400.00%-42.20%18.09%-9.01%-1.83%368.57%-60.45%491.18%
Dividend Yield--4.13%2.79%11.68%1.36%3.72%5.89%7.41%6.81%1.30%4.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.634.772.86
Cash Retained (M)9.959.959.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.63-4.77-2.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.325.187.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.0320.0320.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.260.35
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.260.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.521.671.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$321.50$354.97$378.78
Upside / Downside663.65%743.16%799.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.1540.6343.2746.0849.0852.2753.84
Payout Ratio73.92%77.13%80.35%83.57%86.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.2031.3434.7738.5142.5947.0449.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.2929.5729.84
Year 2 PV (M)30.3730.9431.53
Year 3 PV (M)31.4332.3433.26
Year 4 PV (M)32.4933.7435.02
Year 5 PV (M)33.5435.1536.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,183.951,241.131,300.51
Equity Value (M)1,341.061,402.871,467.00
Shares Outstanding (M)20.0320.0320.03
Fair Value$66.95$70.04$73.24
Upside / Downside59.03%66.36%73.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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