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PT Tempo Scan Pacific Tbk (TSPC.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,716.45 - $65,469.76$22,375.81
Multi-Stage$9,086.55 - $9,956.78$9,513.57
Blended Fair Value$15,944.69
Current Price$2,370.00
Upside572.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.42%4.28%88.16128.3864.7765.6040.7432.0631.8139.3239.1049.67
YoY Growth---31.33%98.22%-1.28%61.03%27.06%0.80%-19.10%0.58%-21.28%-14.31%
Dividend Yield--3.58%6.72%4.61%4.45%2.75%3.32%1.79%2.42%1.99%2.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,501,326.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)504,656.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)996,669.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)300,265.28187,665.80112,599.48
Cash Retained (M)996,669.95996,669.95996,669.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-300,265.28-187,665.80-112,599.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)696,404.67809,004.15884,070.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,503.584,503.584,503.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share154.63179.64196.30
LTM Dividend per Share112.06112.06112.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share154.63179.64196.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend266.69291.69308.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate4.16%5.16%6.16%
Fair Value$11,716.45$22,375.81$65,469.76
Upside / Downside394.36%844.13%2,662.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,501,326.411,578,760.621,660,188.671,745,816.551,835,860.881,930,549.451,988,465.93
Payout Ratio33.61%44.89%56.17%67.45%78.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)504,656.46708,725.09932,501.811,177,476.731,445,241.241,737,494.501,839,330.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate4.16%5.16%6.16%
Year 1 PV (M)658,964.53665,291.13671,617.74
Year 2 PV (M)806,154.25821,708.05837,410.46
Year 3 PV (M)946,466.03973,989.151,002,040.75
Year 4 PV (M)1,080,133.101,122,214.981,165,514.67
Year 5 PV (M)1,207,381.731,266,464.681,327,838.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)36,222,890.5037,995,449.4439,836,730.88
Equity Value (M)40,921,990.1442,845,117.4444,841,152.79
Shares Outstanding (M)4,503.584,503.584,503.58
Fair Value$9,086.55$9,513.57$9,956.78
Upside / Downside283.40%301.42%320.12%

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