Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Techno Medical Public Company Limited (TM.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DistributionSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.55 - $0.84$0.69
Multi-Stage$1.10 - $1.21$1.16
Blended Fair Value$0.92
Current Price$1.04
Upside-11.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.46%0.00%0.030.050.080.100.130.100.080.010.430.00
YoY Growth---34.00%-41.18%-15.00%-23.08%33.47%19.95%1,507.75%-98.83%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.69%2.60%3.40%2.91%4.25%4.23%3.72%0.20%12.96%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.912.441.47
Cash Retained (M)19.5419.5419.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.91-2.44-1.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6317.1018.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)308.00308.00308.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.55$0.69$0.84
Upside / Downside-46.84%-33.91%-19.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19.5419.3419.1518.9618.7718.5819.14
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.003.486.8910.2413.5116.7217.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.223.253.29
Year 2 PV (M)5.906.026.14
Year 3 PV (M)8.118.368.61
Year 4 PV (M)9.9010.3110.73
Year 5 PV (M)11.3411.9312.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)300.32315.95332.24
Equity Value (M)338.78355.83373.56
Shares Outstanding (M)308.00308.00308.00
Fair Value$1.10$1.16$1.21
Upside / Downside5.76%11.08%16.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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