Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Track & Field Co S.A. (TFCO4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.64 - $182.35$80.89
Multi-Stage$20.11 - $22.00$21.04
Blended Fair Value$50.97
Current Price$17.01
Upside199.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS47.78%0.00%0.050.040.060.040.760.010.080.070.000.00
YoY Growth--33.74%-45.43%61.06%-94.67%11,160.41%-91.90%13.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.30%0.60%0.35%6.31%0.07%0.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.9017.4410.46
Cash Retained (M)108.62108.62108.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.90-17.44-10.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)80.7291.1898.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)152.15152.15152.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$37.64$80.89$182.35
Upside / Downside121.25%375.57%972.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.51148.58158.24168.52179.48191.14196.88
Payout Ratio22.14%35.72%49.29%62.86%76.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.8953.0777.99105.93137.17172.03182.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)48.8749.3449.80
Year 2 PV (M)66.1667.4268.69
Year 3 PV (M)82.7685.1487.56
Year 4 PV (M)98.70102.50106.40
Year 5 PV (M)114.01119.52125.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,648.912,776.852,909.69
Equity Value (M)3,059.413,200.763,347.37
Shares Outstanding (M)152.15152.15152.15
Fair Value$20.11$21.04$22.00
Upside / Downside18.21%23.67%29.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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