Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Storskogen Group AB (publ) (STOR-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.70 - $8.76$7.13
Multi-Stage$12.27 - $13.53$12.89
Blended Fair Value$10.01
Current Price$9.59
Upside4.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-3.85%0.00%0.090.080.070.320.180.110.050.030.000.00
YoY Growth--14.29%14.66%-78.36%78.67%62.16%101.09%109.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.69%1.38%0.79%1.38%0.35%0.22%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,061.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)892.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)212.20132.6379.58
Cash Retained (M)892.00892.00892.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-212.20-132.63-79.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)679.80759.38812.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,696.001,696.001,696.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.550.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.70$7.13$8.76
Upside / Downside-40.56%-25.69%-8.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,061.001,050.391,039.891,029.491,019.191,009.001,039.27
Payout Ratio15.93%30.74%45.56%60.37%75.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.00322.92473.74621.52766.29908.10961.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)299.85302.91305.97
Year 2 PV (M)408.48416.86425.32
Year 3 PV (M)497.62513.01528.71
Year 4 PV (M)569.71593.32617.66
Year 5 PV (M)626.92659.56693.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,412.4519,371.2320,369.54
Equity Value (M)20,815.0321,856.9022,940.76
Shares Outstanding (M)1,696.001,696.001,696.00
Fair Value$12.27$12.89$13.53
Upside / Downside27.98%34.38%41.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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