Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Service Stream Limited (SSM.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.33 - $28.89$27.08
Multi-Stage$4.41 - $4.82$4.61
Blended Fair Value$15.85
Current Price$1.99
Upside696.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.32%31.89%0.050.030.010.000.050.060.050.030.020.01
YoY Growth--66.33%99.61%0.00%-100.00%-20.89%21.76%37.25%98.39%41.88%300.73%
Dividend Yield--2.45%2.34%1.81%0.00%5.33%3.07%1.72%2.32%1.34%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)91.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.3011.446.86
Cash Retained (M)42.3842.3842.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.30-11.44-6.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.0830.9535.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)629.67629.67629.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.33$27.08$28.89
Upside / Downside569.95%1,260.69%1,351.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)91.4897.43103.76110.51117.69125.34129.10
Payout Ratio53.67%60.94%68.20%75.47%82.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.1059.3770.7783.4097.37112.80119.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.2755.7956.31
Year 2 PV (M)61.3262.4963.67
Year 3 PV (M)67.2769.2071.16
Year 4 PV (M)73.1075.9278.81
Year 5 PV (M)78.8482.6486.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,440.452,558.332,680.72
Equity Value (M)2,776.252,904.363,037.27
Shares Outstanding (M)629.67629.67629.67
Fair Value$4.41$4.61$4.82
Upside / Downside121.56%131.79%142.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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