Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

The Phoenix Mills Limited (PHOENIXLTD.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$725.47 - $1,988.51$1,120.41
Multi-Stage$482.96 - $528.21$505.17
Blended Fair Value$812.79
Current Price$1,555.50
Upside-47.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.04%9.18%2.502.511.200.490.011.551.341.240.232.03
YoY Growth---0.11%108.03%147.36%6,842.22%-99.55%15.50%8.67%433.27%-88.59%95.33%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.14%0.15%0.08%0.00%0.53%0.41%0.37%0.10%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,782.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)891.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,890.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,156.531,347.83808.70
Cash Retained (M)9,890.709,890.709,890.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,156.53-1,347.83-808.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,734.178,542.879,082.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)357.62357.62357.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.6323.8925.40
LTM Dividend per Share2.492.492.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.6323.8925.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.1226.3827.89
WACC / Discount Rate9.01%9.01%9.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$725.47$1,120.41$1,988.51
Upside / Downside-53.36%-27.97%27.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,782.6511,483.5212,229.9513,024.9013,871.5214,773.1615,216.36
Payout Ratio8.27%24.62%40.96%57.31%73.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)891.952,826.975,009.787,464.4210,216.9813,295.8514,075.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.01%9.01%9.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,569.022,593.372,617.72
Year 2 PV (M)4,137.234,216.044,295.58
Year 3 PV (M)5,601.865,762.675,926.53
Year 4 PV (M)6,967.957,235.927,511.54
Year 5 PV (M)8,240.318,638.329,051.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)145,201.07152,214.33159,496.01
Equity Value (M)172,717.45180,660.65188,898.95
Shares Outstanding (M)357.62357.62357.62
Fair Value$482.96$505.17$528.21
Upside / Downside-68.95%-67.52%-66.04%

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