Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $14.81 - $21.46 | $18.04 |
| Multi-Stage | $40.95 - $45.16 | $43.01 |
| Blended Fair Value | $30.53 | |
| Current Price | $27.00 | |
| Upside | 13.06% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -12.76% | -1.57% | 1.00 | 1.52 | 1.56 | 1.78 | 1.88 | 1.98 | 1.46 | 1.34 | 1.59 | 1.12 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -33.93% | -3.07% | -12.13% | -5.27% | -5.21% | 35.79% | 9.03% | -15.86% | 42.62% | -4.89% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.89% | 7.47% | 5.64% | 6.55% | 8.99% | 12.30% | 5.84% | 6.90% | 7.75% | 6.28% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,005.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,152.71 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 852.29 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 401.00 | 250.63 | 150.38 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 852.29 | 852.29 | 852.29 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -401.00 | -250.63 | -150.38 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 451.29 | 601.67 | 701.92 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 959.03 | 959.03 | 959.03 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.93 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | -4.47% | -3.47% | -2.47% |
| Fair Value | $14.81 | $18.04 | $21.46 |
| Upside / Downside | -45.15% | -33.19% | -20.52% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,005.00 | 1,935.43 | 1,868.26 | 1,803.43 | 1,740.85 | 1,680.45 | 1,730.86 |
| Payout Ratio | 57.49% | 63.99% | 70.50% | 77.00% | 83.50% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,152.71 | 1,238.54 | 1,317.03 | 1,388.59 | 1,453.58 | 1,512.40 | 1,601.04 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | -4.47% | -3.47% | -2.47% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,152.87 | 1,164.94 | 1,177.01 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,141.13 | 1,165.14 | 1,189.41 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,119.90 | 1,155.43 | 1,191.72 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,091.22 | 1,137.64 | 1,185.52 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,056.84 | 1,113.32 | 1,172.20 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 33,713.06 | 35,514.92 | 37,393.01 |
| Equity Value (M) | 39,275.02 | 41,251.40 | 43,308.86 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 959.03 | 959.03 | 959.03 |
| Fair Value | $40.95 | $43.01 | $45.16 |
| Upside / Downside | 51.68% | 59.31% | 67.26% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MORG.OL | Sparebanken Møre | 8.24% | $9.79 | 48.31% |
| TCL-A.TO | Transcontinental Inc. | 8.23% | $1.90 | 90.45% |
| 1524.TW | Gordon Auto Body Parts Co., Ltd. | 8.22% | $2.29 | 90.15% |
| 025000.KS | KPX Chemical Co.,Ltd. | 8.20% | $3,780.40 | 27.09% |
| 3249.T | Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation | 8.19% | $12,629.62 | 94.12% |
| MERC3.SA | Mercantil do Brasil Financeira S.A. | 8.19% | $1.25 | 23.03% |
| VOW.DE | Volkswagen AG | 8.19% | $8.80 | 61.96% |
| ACES.JK | PT Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia Tbk | 8.17% | $33.50 | 70.02% |
| ADH.AX | Adairs Limited | 8.14% | $0.15 | 48.18% |
| 0DZJ.L | Groupe CRIT S.A. | 8.13% | $4.75 | 37.37% |
| WAR.AX | WAM Strategic Value Limited | 8.12% | $0.09 | 49.55% |
| PCSGH.BK | P.C.S. Machine Group Holding Public Company Limited | 8.10% | $0.25 | 61.11% |
| C52.SI | ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited | 8.08% | $0.12 | 61.96% |
| 6601.HK | Cheerwin Group Limited | 8.07% | $0.18 | 58.02% |
| ABA.AX | Auswide Bank Ltd | 8.07% | $0.41 | 53.00% |
| FILA.MI | F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. | 8.06% | $0.78 | 60.66% |
| AIQ.AX | Alternative Investment Trust | 8.04% | $0.12 | 50.93% |
| LIGHT.AS | Signify N.V. | 8.04% | $1.74 | 69.87% |
| NER.BK | North East Rubber Public Company Limited | 8.04% | $0.36 | 35.33% |
| 1361.HK | 361 Degrees International Limited | 8.03% | $0.43 | 39.44% |
| STO.AX | Santos Limited | 8.03% | $0.49 | 70.12% |
| UTP.BK | United Paper Public Company Limited | 8.00% | $0.60 | 73.40% |
| 0P2J.L | Ascencio S.A. | 7.99% | $4.30 | 73.74% |
| 0QQE.L | DKSH Holding AG | 7.99% | $4.59 | 77.54% |
| RPL.AX | Regal Partners Limited | 7.99% | $0.26 | 96.18% |
| 1983.HK | Luzhou Bank Co., Ltd. | 7.96% | $0.17 | 23.39% |
| 2166.HK | Smart-Core Holdings Limited | 7.96% | $0.17 | 38.03% |
| 3014.TW | ITE Tech. Inc | 7.96% | $9.11 | 95.86% |
| BSD.PA | Bourse Direct S.A. | 7.96% | $0.36 | 51.14% |
| OIZ.IR | Origin Enterprises plc | 7.96% | $0.33 | 39.03% |
| FVI.MI | Fervi S.p.A. | 7.95% | $1.29 | 58.52% |
| MSTI.JK | Mastersystem Infotama Tbk. | 7.95% | $118.00 | 70.08% |
| 0012.HK | Henderson Land Development Company Limited | 7.94% | $2.30 | 89.03% |
| 057050.KS | Hyundai Home Shopping Network Corporation | 7.93% | $4,290.73 | 58.03% |
| IB.MI | Iniziative Bresciane S.p.A. | 7.93% | $0.93 | 91.62% |
| SSSC.BK | Siam Steel Service Center Public Company Limited | 7.93% | $0.17 | 48.86% |
| 0868.HK | Xinyi Glass Holdings Limited | 7.92% | $0.67 | 37.03% |
| 0E1L.L | CapMan Oyj | 7.90% | $0.15 | 36.88% |
| BBAS3.SA | Banco do Brasil S.A. | 7.90% | $1.71 | 76.22% |
| 002060.SZ | Guangdong Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd. | 7.89% | $0.28 | 98.50% |
| FSA.AX | FSA Group Limited | 7.89% | $0.10 | 9.37% |
| 0F2S.L | Linedata Services S.A. | 7.87% | $3.60 | 32.69% |
| 0R7T.L | TINC N.V. | 7.87% | $0.84 | 35.61% |
| 0D1X.L | Groupe Guillin S.A. | 7.86% | $2.10 | 32.57% |
| 5199.KL | Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad | 7.86% | $0.12 | 74.47% |
| ULKER.IS | Ülker Bisküvi Sanayi A.S. | 7.85% | $8.79 | 45.09% |
| 9581.SR | Clean Life Co. | 7.84% | $8.00 | 56.24% |
| 3463.T | Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation | 7.83% | $9,957.47 | 51.91% |
| LHSC.BK | LH Shopping Centers Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust | 7.83% | $1.00 | 59.09% |
| EPMT.JK | PT Enseval Putera Megatrading Tbk. | 7.82% | $179.10 | 64.00% |