Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Morrow Bank ASA (MOBA.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.79 - $14.84$12.17
Multi-Stage$20.04 - $22.05$21.02
Blended Fair Value$16.59
Current Price$14.85
Upside11.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.340.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%4.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)261.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)169.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.2632.6619.60
Cash Retained (M)169.00169.00169.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.26-32.66-19.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.74136.34149.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)231.57231.57231.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.590.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.590.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.991.04
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.79$12.17$14.84
Upside / Downside-34.06%-18.07%-0.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)261.30258.69256.10253.54251.00248.49255.95
Payout Ratio35.32%46.26%57.19%68.13%79.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.30119.67146.47172.73198.46223.64236.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)110.67111.80112.93
Year 2 PV (M)125.28127.85130.45
Year 3 PV (M)136.64140.87145.18
Year 4 PV (M)145.19151.21157.41
Year 5 PV (M)151.32159.20167.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,970.444,177.194,392.47
Equity Value (M)4,639.554,868.125,105.84
Shares Outstanding (M)231.57231.57231.57
Fair Value$20.04$21.02$22.05
Upside / Downside34.92%41.57%48.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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