Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Midway Holding AB (publ) (MIDW-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.73 - $50.46$34.63
Multi-Stage$37.71 - $41.37$39.50
Blended Fair Value$37.07
Current Price$21.10
Upside75.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.95%0.00%0.900.790.760.000.000.490.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--13.64%4.76%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.69%2.88%4.05%0.00%0.00%2.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.005.003.00
Cash Retained (M)14.0014.0014.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.00-5.00-3.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.009.0011.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.7427.7427.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.320.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.320.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate1.61%2.61%3.61%
Fair Value$24.73$34.63$50.46
Upside / Downside17.23%64.12%139.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.0041.0442.1143.2144.3445.4946.86
Payout Ratio65.00%70.00%75.00%80.00%85.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.0028.7331.5834.5737.6940.9443.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate1.61%2.61%3.61%
Year 1 PV (M)26.7527.0227.28
Year 2 PV (M)27.3927.9328.48
Year 3 PV (M)27.9128.7429.59
Year 4 PV (M)28.3329.4730.63
Year 5 PV (M)28.6630.1031.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)907.24952.771,000.11
Equity Value (M)1,046.291,096.031,147.69
Shares Outstanding (M)27.7427.7427.74
Fair Value$37.71$39.50$41.37
Upside / Downside78.73%87.22%96.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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