Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Keystone Positive Change Investment Trust plc (KPC.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.69 - $0.90$0.80
Multi-Stage$1.30 - $1.44$1.37
Blended Fair Value$1.09
Current Price$2.31
Upside-52.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-51.46%-28.32%0.000.000.040.110.130.170.130.130.140.13
YoY Growth--11.74%-90.01%-64.27%-11.61%-23.53%26.90%2.40%-7.90%8.41%2.44%
Dividend Yield--0.20%0.20%2.10%3.29%5.06%5.44%3.92%3.72%4.03%3.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.451.530.92
Cash Retained (M)11.7211.7211.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.45-1.53-0.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.2710.1910.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.1561.1561.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-11.09%-10.09%-9.09%
Fair Value$0.69$0.80$0.90
Upside / Downside-70.09%-65.23%-60.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.2711.039.928.928.027.217.42
Payout Ratio4.46%21.57%38.68%55.78%72.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.552.383.844.975.846.496.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-11.09%-10.09%-9.09%
Year 1 PV (M)2.152.172.20
Year 2 PV (M)3.123.203.27
Year 3 PV (M)3.663.783.91
Year 4 PV (M)3.884.064.24
Year 5 PV (M)3.894.114.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)62.7666.3770.15
Equity Value (M)79.4683.6988.10
Shares Outstanding (M)61.1561.1561.15
Fair Value$1.30$1.37$1.44
Upside / Downside-43.75%-40.76%-37.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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