Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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PT Hartadinata Abadi Tbk (HRTA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Luxury GoodsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26,244.75 - $30,920.77$28,977.29
Multi-Stage$17,553.12 - $19,266.47$18,393.79
Blended Fair Value$23,685.54
Current Price$915.00
Upside2,488.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.47%0.00%15.0012.0010.008.008.007.006.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--25.00%20.00%25.00%0.00%14.29%16.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.88%3.02%2.70%3.77%3.92%2.69%2.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)716,018.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96,710.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)619,308.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)143,203.7589,502.3453,701.40
Cash Retained (M)619,308.22619,308.22619,308.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-143,203.75-89,502.34-53,701.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)476,104.48529,805.88565,606.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,605.264,605.264,605.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share103.38115.04122.82
LTM Dividend per Share21.0021.0021.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share103.38115.04122.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend124.38136.04143.82
WACC / Discount Rate2.58%2.58%2.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26,244.75$28,977.29$30,920.77
Upside / Downside2,768.28%3,066.92%3,279.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)716,018.73762,559.95812,126.35864,914.56921,134.01981,007.721,010,437.95
Payout Ratio13.51%28.81%44.10%59.40%74.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96,710.51219,658.15358,180.37513,782.43688,099.45882,906.94934,655.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.58%2.58%2.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)212,118.15214,128.75216,139.35
Year 2 PV (M)334,012.58340,374.58346,796.60
Year 3 PV (M)462,669.43475,951.01489,484.36
Year 4 PV (M)598,374.79621,386.60645,055.83
Year 5 PV (M)741,425.52777,236.65814,418.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)78,488,129.7482,279,135.7686,215,232.50
Equity Value (M)80,836,730.2284,708,213.3588,727,127.00
Shares Outstanding (M)4,605.264,605.264,605.26
Fair Value$17,553.12$18,393.79$19,266.47
Upside / Downside1,818.37%1,910.25%2,005.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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