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Definitive Analysis

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European Wax Center, Inc. (EWCZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.66 - $2.34$2.00
Multi-Stage$2.35 - $2.59$2.47
Blended Fair Value$2.23
Current Price$5.80
Upside-61.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-31.40%0.00%0.020.074.730.000.000.120.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---72.31%-98.61%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.48%24.89%0.00%0.00%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.251.400.84
Cash Retained (M)11.2011.2011.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.25-1.40-0.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.959.7910.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.4043.4043.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.230.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.230.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate10.24%10.24%10.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.66$2.00$2.34
Upside / Downside-71.41%-65.60%-59.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.2411.1211.0110.9010.7910.6911.01
Payout Ratio0.37%18.30%36.22%54.15%72.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.042.043.995.907.789.6210.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.24%10.24%10.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.831.851.87
Year 2 PV (M)3.223.283.35
Year 3 PV (M)4.274.414.54
Year 4 PV (M)5.065.275.48
Year 5 PV (M)5.615.916.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)82.0686.3490.79
Equity Value (M)102.05107.05112.24
Shares Outstanding (M)43.4043.4043.40
Fair Value$2.35$2.47$2.59
Upside / Downside-59.45%-57.47%-55.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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