Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Eregli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikalari T.A.S. (EREGL.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.28 - $148.71$107.42
Multi-Stage$18.29 - $20.01$19.13
Blended Fair Value$63.28
Current Price$29.40
Upside115.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-18.53%8.24%0.260.002.311.000.120.720.440.220.150.20
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%130.35%736.64%-83.31%64.21%101.73%40.75%-22.72%70.73%
Dividend Yield--1.14%0.00%13.08%6.20%1.57%19.15%9.72%4.15%5.23%9.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,077.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,717.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,360.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,015.60634.75380.85
Cash Retained (M)3,360.513,360.513,360.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,015.60-634.75-380.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,344.922,725.772,979.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,790.956,790.956,790.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$38.28$107.42$148.71
Upside / Downside30.20%265.37%405.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,077.985,408.055,759.576,133.946,532.656,957.277,165.99
Payout Ratio33.82%45.06%56.29%67.53%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,717.472,436.733,242.244,142.175,145.406,261.546,628.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,252.802,274.162,295.51
Year 2 PV (M)2,771.262,824.042,877.33
Year 3 PV (M)3,273.233,367.193,462.93
Year 4 PV (M)3,759.093,903.664,052.35
Year 5 PV (M)4,229.234,433.504,645.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)107,916.04113,128.43118,540.31
Equity Value (M)124,201.66129,930.98135,874.02
Shares Outstanding (M)6,790.956,790.956,790.95
Fair Value$18.29$19.13$20.01
Upside / Downside-37.79%-34.92%-31.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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