Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Elmos Semiconductor SE (ELG.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$605.96 - $1,438.44$1,348.03
Multi-Stage$208.18 - $228.05$217.93
Blended Fair Value$782.98
Current Price$81.90
Upside856.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.35%11.64%0.850.750.650.550.550.600.460.400.380.38
YoY Growth--13.46%15.45%17.99%0.17%-7.92%29.24%14.38%6.18%0.54%33.67%
Dividend Yield--1.46%1.04%0.72%1.05%1.53%3.15%2.30%1.62%1.69%3.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)124.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)106.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.8115.519.30
Cash Retained (M)106.87106.87106.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.81-15.51-9.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)82.0691.3797.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.1517.1517.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.795.335.69
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.795.335.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.796.336.69
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$605.96$1,348.03$1,438.44
Upside / Downside639.88%1,545.94%1,656.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)124.04132.10140.69149.84159.57169.95175.05
Payout Ratio13.84%29.07%44.30%59.54%74.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.1738.4162.3389.21119.31152.95161.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)35.7236.0636.40
Year 2 PV (M)53.9254.9555.98
Year 3 PV (M)71.7773.8375.93
Year 4 PV (M)89.2892.7296.25
Year 5 PV (M)106.46111.60116.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,213.073,368.263,529.40
Equity Value (M)3,570.233,737.423,910.90
Shares Outstanding (M)17.1517.1517.15
Fair Value$208.18$217.93$228.05
Upside / Downside154.19%166.09%178.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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