Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ECIT As (ECIT.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.02 - $3.14$2.53
Multi-Stage$4.72 - $5.20$4.96
Blended Fair Value$3.75
Current Price$7.50
Upside-50.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202320222021202020192018
DPS-8.78%0.00%0.040.200.310.010.080.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---80.43%-36.11%2,153.52%-82.89%31.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.56%2.73%4.41%0.17%1.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)99.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.8012.387.43
Cash Retained (M)58.0058.0058.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.80-12.38-7.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.2045.6350.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)466.13466.13466.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.02$2.53$3.14
Upside / Downside-73.12%-66.20%-58.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)99.0098.0197.0396.0695.1094.1596.97
Payout Ratio41.41%51.13%60.85%70.57%80.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.0050.1159.0467.7976.3584.7389.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)46.6947.1647.64
Year 2 PV (M)51.2452.2953.35
Year 3 PV (M)54.8056.5058.23
Year 4 PV (M)57.5059.8962.34
Year 5 PV (M)59.4562.5565.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,931.482,032.052,136.78
Equity Value (M)2,201.172,310.442,424.12
Shares Outstanding (M)466.13466.13466.13
Fair Value$4.72$4.96$5.20
Upside / Downside-37.04%-33.91%-30.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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