Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CES Energy Solutions Corp. (CEU.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.53 - $155.84$95.81
Multi-Stage$18.39 - $20.13$19.25
Blended Fair Value$57.53
Current Price$9.39
Upside512.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.00%-7.90%0.120.100.070.020.020.070.050.040.060.32
YoY Growth--19.32%37.94%300.44%-4.45%-73.24%32.37%51.21%-43.27%-80.44%17.32%
Dividend Yield--1.60%2.05%2.68%0.75%1.17%8.66%1.83%0.62%0.85%9.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)145.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.6622.2913.37
Cash Retained (M)145.75145.75145.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.66-22.29-13.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)110.10123.47132.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)227.51227.51227.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.72
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$37.53$95.81$155.84
Upside / Downside299.70%920.37%1,559.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178.28189.87202.21215.35229.35244.26251.59
Payout Ratio18.25%32.60%46.95%61.30%75.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.5361.8994.93132.01173.50219.83232.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)57.1657.7058.24
Year 2 PV (M)80.9782.5184.07
Year 3 PV (M)103.98106.97110.01
Year 4 PV (M)126.22131.07136.07
Year 5 PV (M)147.70154.83162.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,668.463,845.654,029.62
Equity Value (M)4,184.494,378.744,580.25
Shares Outstanding (M)227.51227.51227.51
Fair Value$18.39$19.25$20.13
Upside / Downside95.87%104.97%114.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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