Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Acadian Asset Management (AAMI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.35 - $12.37$10.92
Multi-Stage$17.17 - $19.01$18.07
Blended Fair Value$14.50
Current Price$48.16
Upside-69.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-47.04%0.00%0.040.050.030.080.300.981.161.061.051.06
YoY Growth---25.00%66.67%-58.62%-73.39%-69.72%-15.29%9.54%0.78%-0.52%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.24%0.14%0.33%1.46%15.36%8.39%7.02%6.94%7.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5610.986.59
Cash Retained (M)86.4086.4086.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.56-10.98-6.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)68.8475.4379.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.6736.6736.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.882.062.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.882.062.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate-9.10%-8.10%-7.10%
Fair Value$9.35$10.92$12.37
Upside / Downside-80.59%-77.32%-74.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.8080.6974.1568.1462.6257.5459.27
Payout Ratio1.59%19.28%36.96%54.64%72.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.4015.5527.4037.2345.2851.7954.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate-9.10%-8.10%-7.10%
Year 1 PV (M)14.0514.2014.35
Year 2 PV (M)22.3522.8423.34
Year 3 PV (M)27.4228.3429.27
Year 4 PV (M)30.1231.4732.86
Year 5 PV (M)31.1132.8634.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)504.70533.08562.72
Equity Value (M)629.75662.79697.24
Shares Outstanding (M)36.6736.6736.67
Fair Value$17.17$18.07$19.01
Upside / Downside-64.34%-62.47%-60.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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