Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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INES Corporation (9742.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$585.35 - $906.61$734.21
Multi-Stage$1,251.50 - $1,373.75$1,311.44
Blended Fair Value$1,022.83
Current Price$2,016.00
Upside-49.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.85%4.47%49.9449.8439.9450.6145.6134.2225.6725.0921.0523.98
YoY Growth--0.19%24.79%-21.08%10.96%33.29%33.33%2.30%19.18%-12.22%-25.63%
Dividend Yield--3.00%2.73%2.66%3.12%3.30%2.51%2.18%2.36%1.87%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,298.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,142.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)156.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)259.60162.2597.35
Cash Retained (M)156.00156.00156.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-259.60-162.25-97.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-103.60-6.2558.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8120.8120.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share-4.98-0.302.82
LTM Dividend per Share54.8954.8954.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share-4.98-0.302.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend49.9154.5957.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-1.57%-0.57%0.43%
Fair Value$585.35$734.21$906.61
Upside / Downside-70.97%-63.58%-55.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,298.001,290.621,283.271,275.971,268.711,261.501,299.34
Payout Ratio87.98%88.39%88.79%89.19%89.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,142.001,140.711,139.401,138.071,136.721,135.351,201.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-1.57%-0.57%0.43%
Year 1 PV (M)1,057.111,067.851,078.59
Year 2 PV (M)978.51998.491,018.67
Year 3 PV (M)905.73933.62962.07
Year 4 PV (M)838.35872.94908.59
Year 5 PV (M)775.97816.19858.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,483.3722,597.0623,756.47
Equity Value (M)26,039.0327,286.1528,582.46
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8120.8120.81
Fair Value$1,251.50$1,311.44$1,373.75
Upside / Downside-37.92%-34.95%-31.86%

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