Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zojirushi Corporation (7965.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,599.49 - $3,410.79$2,275.29
Multi-Stage$2,218.27 - $2,434.89$2,324.53
Blended Fair Value$2,299.91
Current Price$1,751.00
Upside31.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.97%15.59%35.2335.2337.2628.9926.9328.9926.8923.7622.7414.47
YoY Growth--0.00%-5.47%28.53%7.68%-7.13%7.80%13.22%4.44%57.14%75.00%
Dividend Yield--2.30%2.52%2.26%2.00%1.51%1.74%2.26%1.77%1.52%0.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,726.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,081.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,644.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,145.20715.75429.45
Cash Retained (M)3,644.503,644.503,644.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,145.20-715.75-429.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,499.302,928.753,215.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.2965.2965.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share38.2844.8649.24
LTM Dividend per Share31.8831.8831.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share38.2844.8649.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend70.1676.7481.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate1.97%2.97%3.97%
Fair Value$1,599.49$2,275.29$3,410.79
Upside / Downside-8.65%29.94%94.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,726.005,896.166,071.386,251.816,437.606,628.916,827.78
Payout Ratio36.35%47.08%57.81%68.54%79.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,081.502,776.003,509.934,285.045,103.115,966.026,315.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate1.97%2.97%3.97%
Year 1 PV (M)2,582.602,607.922,633.25
Year 2 PV (M)3,037.913,097.783,158.24
Year 3 PV (M)3,450.393,552.903,657.42
Year 4 PV (M)3,822.853,975.024,131.70
Year 5 PV (M)4,157.914,365.824,581.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,781.81134,171.46140,814.20
Equity Value (M)144,833.46151,770.91158,976.78
Shares Outstanding (M)65.2965.2965.29
Fair Value$2,218.27$2,324.53$2,434.89
Upside / Downside26.69%32.75%39.06%

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