Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

GuangDong Leary New Material Technology Co.,Ltd (688683.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.76 - $2.50$2.13
Multi-Stage$2.70 - $2.96$2.83
Blended Fair Value$2.48
Current Price$34.28
Upside-92.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-10.43%0.00%0.080.110.150.170.000.130.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---26.70%-28.98%-10.30%11,431.78%-98.93%4,447.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.59%0.67%0.75%0.01%0.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.115.073.04
Cash Retained (M)29.3329.3329.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.11-5.07-3.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.2124.2626.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)153.33153.33153.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.76$2.13$2.50
Upside / Downside-94.86%-93.80%-92.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.5740.1739.7639.3738.9738.5839.74
Payout Ratio27.71%40.17%52.63%65.09%77.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.2416.1320.9325.6230.2234.7236.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.5514.7014.85
Year 2 PV (M)17.0117.3617.72
Year 3 PV (M)18.7819.3619.96
Year 4 PV (M)19.9820.8021.66
Year 5 PV (M)20.7021.7722.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)322.94339.75357.26
Equity Value (M)413.95433.75454.33
Shares Outstanding (M)153.33153.33153.33
Fair Value$2.70$2.83$2.96
Upside / Downside-92.12%-91.75%-91.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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