Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Lante Optics Co., Ltd. (688127.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.28 - $150.74$49.25
Multi-Stage$15.32 - $16.76$16.03
Blended Fair Value$32.64
Current Price$32.43
Upside0.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.14%32.62%0.210.160.150.150.160.080.100.010.050.01
YoY Growth--30.19%7.16%1.13%-5.53%95.70%-17.85%767.71%-78.82%370.58%-9.19%
Dividend Yield--0.74%0.74%0.70%0.92%0.78%0.23%0.28%0.00%0.15%0.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)308.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)81.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)227.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.7838.6123.17
Cash Retained (M)227.23227.23227.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.78-38.61-23.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)165.45188.62204.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)407.51407.51407.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.610.660.70
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.28$49.25$150.74
Upside / Downside-18.96%51.88%364.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)308.88328.96350.34373.12397.37423.20435.89
Payout Ratio26.44%39.15%51.86%64.57%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)81.66128.79181.69240.94307.12380.88403.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)118.20119.32120.44
Year 2 PV (M)153.05155.96158.91
Year 3 PV (M)186.27191.62197.06
Year 4 PV (M)217.91226.29234.91
Year 5 PV (M)248.03260.01272.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,321.575,578.605,845.47
Equity Value (M)6,245.026,531.806,829.24
Shares Outstanding (M)407.51407.51407.51
Fair Value$15.32$16.03$16.76
Upside / Downside-52.74%-50.57%-48.32%

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