Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pinming Technology Co., Ltd. (688109.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.09 - $7.26$6.16
Multi-Stage$8.14 - $8.92$8.52
Blended Fair Value$7.34
Current Price$100.60
Upside-92.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.50%0.00%0.260.000.370.480.220.280.170.000.220.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-23.07%112.25%-19.67%69.44%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.98%0.00%1.43%1.70%0.42%0.45%0.27%0.00%0.36%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.358.345.00
Cash Retained (M)37.2637.2637.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.35-8.34-5.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.9228.9232.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.8588.8588.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.330.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.330.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.660.69
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.09$6.16$7.26
Upside / Downside-94.94%-93.88%-92.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.7366.0665.4064.7564.1063.4665.36
Payout Ratio44.16%53.33%62.49%71.66%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.4635.2340.8746.4051.8157.1160.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)31.8332.1532.48
Year 2 PV (M)33.3634.0534.74
Year 3 PV (M)34.2235.2836.36
Year 4 PV (M)34.5335.9637.43
Year 5 PV (M)34.3836.1738.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)554.60583.48613.55
Equity Value (M)722.92757.09792.59
Shares Outstanding (M)88.8588.8588.85
Fair Value$8.14$8.52$8.92
Upside / Downside-91.91%-91.53%-91.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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