Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Qbic Technology Co., Ltd. (6825.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.63 - $33.30$28.42
Multi-Stage$33.56 - $36.89$35.19
Blended Fair Value$31.81
Current Price$32.37
Upside-1.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.070.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---28.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.20%0.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)100.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)97.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.1712.617.56
Cash Retained (M)97.6197.6197.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.17-12.61-7.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)77.4485.0090.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.2227.2227.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.853.123.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.853.123.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.963.243.43
WACC / Discount Rate10.29%10.29%10.29%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$23.63$28.42$33.30
Upside / Downside-26.99%-12.19%2.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)100.8799.8698.8697.8796.8995.9298.80
Payout Ratio3.23%20.58%37.94%55.29%72.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.2620.5537.5054.1170.3986.3391.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.29%10.29%10.29%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.4518.6318.82
Year 2 PV (M)30.2130.8331.45
Year 3 PV (M)39.1240.3341.57
Year 4 PV (M)45.6747.5649.51
Year 5 PV (M)50.2752.8955.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)729.61767.61807.16
Equity Value (M)913.33957.851,004.14
Shares Outstanding (M)27.2227.2227.22
Fair Value$33.56$35.19$36.89
Upside / Downside3.67%8.72%13.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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