Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

AirTrip Corp. (6191.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,052.53 - $1,823.85$1,383.67
Multi-Stage$1,726.06 - $1,898.24$1,810.49
Blended Fair Value$1,597.08
Current Price$980.00
Upside62.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.51%0.00%9.939.939.849.809.048.777.845.260.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.90%0.45%8.37%3.05%11.93%49.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.01%0.87%0.53%0.40%0.29%0.70%0.39%0.29%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,840.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)223.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,617.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)368.00230.00138.00
Cash Retained (M)1,617.001,617.001,617.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-368.00-230.00-138.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,249.001,387.001,479.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.4522.4522.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share55.6361.7765.87
LTM Dividend per Share9.939.939.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share55.6361.7765.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend65.5671.7175.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate0.51%1.51%2.51%
Fair Value$1,052.53$1,383.67$1,823.85
Upside / Downside7.40%41.19%86.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,840.001,867.791,896.001,924.641,953.711,983.212,042.71
Payout Ratio12.12%27.70%43.27%58.85%74.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)223.00517.30820.431,132.611,454.021,784.891,889.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate0.51%1.51%2.51%
Year 1 PV (M)479.72484.49489.26
Year 2 PV (M)705.57719.68733.92
Year 3 PV (M)903.28930.51958.28
Year 4 PV (M)1,075.381,118.821,163.56
Year 5 PV (M)1,224.191,286.311,350.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,366.6336,110.5937,924.65
Equity Value (M)38,754.7640,650.4042,620.61
Shares Outstanding (M)22.4522.4522.45
Fair Value$1,726.06$1,810.49$1,898.24
Upside / Downside76.13%84.74%93.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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